The paper "Euro Area Quantitative Easing in a Portfolio Balance Model with Heterogeneous Agents and Assets" by Tina Koziol, Jesper Riedler and Joeri Schasfoort has been finalized for the project ”Quantitative Easing and Financial (In)Stability” funded by the Volkswagen Foundation.
The authors developed a portfolio balance model to study the effects of Quantitative Easing (QE) on international financial asset returns through the portfolio balance channel. Their two-country model features heterogeneity in assets and investor preferences. Both are crucial for a meaningful model-based impact assessment of QE. Preferences for asset maturity, asset class (bonds, equities, and currencies) and whether an asset is issued at home or abroad influence the substitutability of assets, which drives the portfolio balance effect of central bank asset purchases. The authors calibrate the two countries in their model to the euro area and a representative sample of rest-of-the-world countries in order to estimate the international impact of the ECB’s asset purchase program announced in January 2015. When simulating the model, the findings show that central bank asset purchases decrease domestic yields and slightly increase foreign yields. While the effects of QE on domestic yields and the exchange rate are rather modest and smaller than commonly assumed in the literature, domestic stock prices increase substantially.