SAFE Working Paper No. 496

Soft in Name: The Uneven Normativity of European Banking Guidelines

European Banking Authority guidelines share a single legal status: formally non-binding, subject to comply-or-explain. This article shows that they share very little else. Applying an expert-coded deontic lexicon to the operative provisions of 85 draft-final guideline pairs (2010-2025), we provide the first measurement of what these instruments are actually made of.

The average final guideline contains roughly twenty obligation-bearing terms per 1,000 words, of which 78 per cent are recommendatory, 18 per cent permissive, and 4 per cent unqualified commands, with recommendatory terms outnumbering commands by roughly twenty to one. But the average conceals a range that runs from instruments containing no command at all -nine of the eighty-five - to one in which commands constitute 43 per cent of all normative language. Instruments carrying identical legal status differ in normative content by an order of magnitude.

We then trace what happens between the consultation draft and the final text. The movement is concentrated with unusual precision. Shall falls by 70 per cent in density (0.79 to 0.24 per 1,000 words) and its dispersion across instruments collapses by a factor of 12.9; must, which expresses materially similar content, does not move at all (0.72 to 0.67; variance ratio 1.35, p = 0.58). A word-level reconstruction of every deontic term in the corpus shows that commands do not descend a register: of the 63 per cent of strong-class occurrences that do not survive, 76 per cent are reworded out of modal form or deleted outright, and only 24 per cent are downgraded to a weaker term. Five instruments enter consultation with commands and leave with none.

None of this is visible to the measurement strategy the literature ordinarily uses. Computed over whole documents rather than operative provisions, our index correlates with itself at r = 0.19. We argue that soft law’s normativity is constructed at the level of individual words, that it varies far more within a legal category than the category suggests, and that measuring it requires attending to which words, in which parts of which document.