Network Connectivity, Systemic and Systematic Risk
Projekt Start: | 01/2016 |
Status: | Beendet |
Forscher: | Monica Billio, Massimiliano Caporin, Aleksey Kolokolov, Roberto Panzica, Loriana Pelizzon, Zorka Simon |
Kategorie: | Financial Markets, Systemic Risk Lab |
Finanziert von: | LOEWE |
The project aims to shed light on understanding the propagation mechanisms behind the recent financial crisis. Part of the literature postulates that systemic risk is strictly related (if not equal to) systematic risk. In this extension, we will elaborate on this hypothesis and introduce a modeling framework where systemic and systematic risks co-exist. The model is a simplification of the Branger et al. (2014) model and a variation of the traditional Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) where networks are used to infer the exogenous/lagged and contemporaneous links across assets. The econometric approach used to estimate the model refers to the spatial econometric framework, namely the use of concentrated likelihoods. In our framework network, connections are exogenously provided by direct exposures and indirect exposures.
The project has allowed extending the classic factor-based asset pricing model by including network linkages in linear factor models. We assume that the network linkages are exogenously provided. This extension of the model allows a better understanding of the causes of systematic risk.
Zugehörige publizierte Papers
Forscher/innen | Titel | Jahr | Programmbereich | Keywords |
---|---|---|---|---|
Massimiliano Caporin, Aleksey Kolokolov, Roberto Renò | Systemic Co-Jumps Journal of Financial Economics | 2017 | Financial Markets, Systemic Risk Lab | Jumps; Return predictability; Systemic events; Variance risk premium |
Zugehörige Working Papers
Nr. | Forscher/innen | Titel | Jahr | Programmbereich | Keywords |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
228 | Roberto Panzica | Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle: The Role of Assets' Interconnections | 2018 | Financial Markets, Systemic Risk Lab | Idiosyncratic volatility puzzle; Networks; Expected Returns; Granger Causality |
149 | Massimiliano Caporin, Aleksey Kolokolov, Roberto Renò | Systemic Co-Jumps | 2016 | Financial Markets, Systemic Risk Lab | Jumps, Return predictability, Systemic events, Variance Risk Premium |
166 | Monica Billio, Massimiliano Caporin, Roberto Panzica, Loriana Pelizzon | The Impact of Network Connectivity on Factor Exposures, Asset Pricing and Portfolio Diversification | 2016 | Financial Markets, Systemic Risk Lab | CAPM, volatility, network, interconnections, systematic risk |
165 | Giovanni Bonaccolto, Massimiliano Caporin, Roberto Panzica | Estimation and Model-Based Combination of Causality Networks | 2017 | Financial Markets, Systemic Risk Lab | Granger causality, quantile causality, multi-layer network, network combination |