|Researchers:||Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer, Olivia S. Mitchell, Ralph Rogalla|
Topic and Objectives
The US Social Security Trustees' Reports have strongly emphasized the need for reforms to help enhance the solvency of the nation's old age income system. A potentially useful approach would be to encourage older Americans to defer retirement since this could generate additional contributions to the system. As raising Social Security retirement ages is an unpopular policy, this paper examines an alternative approach to encourage, but not require, delayed claiming. Specifically, we investigate whether replacing the Social Security's current annuitized delayed retirement credit with a lump sum payment could induce workers to voluntarily defer claiming of their SociaI Security benefits, and possibly to work more. Under today's Social Security rules, an eligible individual is permitted to claim his retirement benefits as early as age 62 or as late as age 70. His monthly benefit payment depends on his lifetime earnings history and claiming age. That is, his benefits are reduced if he claims prior to his Full Retirement Age (FRA) of 67 or incremented if he delays claiming beyond the FRA. As an example, for a worker born in 1960 or later, deferring claiming benefit from age 62 to the FRA of 67 will entitle him to an increase of monthly benefits of around 43 percent. Claiming at age 70 would result in 77 percent higher monthly benefits for life. Despite such rewards for delayed claiming, Americans' average claiming age is around the age of 63.5, resulting in much lower benefit payments than people could receive for further delays. Our previous theoretical work used a life cycle portfolio choice and Iabor supply model to show that rational consumers would optimally delay claiming their benefits if given a chance to receive their delayed retirement credits as a lump sum payment. In this project, we test this hypothesis by empirically evaluating who and how much people might defer claiming for a lump sum in lieu of a higher monthly payment for life. To this end, we designed and implemented a survey module for RAND's American Life Panel (ALP) and used it to assess how people might actually respond to having access to the actuarial present value of the benefit increases resulting from longer work lives. We begin by computing for each respondent (based on his past earnings) how much his anticipated monthly Social Security benefits would be if he were to claim at each age from 62 to 70. Given this information, we then asked each individual to indicate his expected claiming age. Next we presented the respondent with two alternative scenarios, and we again asked him to report his expected claiming ages under each option. In one case (“lump sum scenario”), the person was told to assume that he would receive lifelong monthly income in the amount of his age-62 Social Security benefit from his claiming date on, irrespective of when he actually claimed. This benefit would be paired with a lump sum payable as of his claiming date, where the amount is equal to the actuarial present value of his delayed retirement credit under the current system. In the other case (“delayed lump sum scenario”), he was told to assume that his monthly benefit would be adjusted upward for delayed claiming until he attained his FRA as under the status quo. For claiming ages later than that, his monthly benefit would be fixed at the FRA level, and he would receive a lump sum payable as of his claiming date equal to the present value of the delayed retirement credit after the FRA. Moreover, in each scenario we asked the respondent to record how much additional work he would engage in, depending on the specific scenario.
- People would voluntarily work longer if offered an actuarially fair lump sum instead of the delayed retirement extra benefit under the current Social Security rules. The measured delays in claiming average about half a year if the lump sum were to be paid on claiming postage 62, and by about two-thirds of a year if the lump sum were only paid to those claiming later than their FRA.
- Individuals most responsive to these incentives proved to be those who would have claimed earliest under the Status Quo.
- We also found that people would voluntarily work about one-quarter of the delay in claiming time in the Lump Sum scenario, whereas they would work almost half of the additional time in the Delayed Lump Sum scenario.
- Those who are more financially literate and who mistrust Social Security's resilience are likely to delay claiming more; the indebted would also delay claiming to obtain the lump sums.
Our findings will interest policymakers seeking ways of reforming Social Security without raising costs or cutting benefits, while enhancing the incentives to delay retirement. This is because we confirm that people would voluntarily claim later, and extend their work effort, due to the lump sum options examined here. In other words, some workers would pay Social Security payroll taxes longer which would help the system's finances. Moreover, incentivizing longer work lives may well be associated with better mental and physical health at older ages, so a lump sum option is worthy of serious policy attention.
|Raimond Maurer, Olivia S. Mitchell, Ralph Rogalla, Tatjana Schimetschek||Will They Take the Money and Work? An Empirical Analysis of People’s Willingness to Delay Claiming Social Security Benefits for a Lump Sum|
Journal of Risk and Insurance
|2018||Household Finance||Annuity, lump sum, Social Security, delayed retirement, lifetime income, pension|
Olivia S. Mitchell,
|The Potential Effect of Offering Lump Sums as Retirement Payments|
Policy Letter No. 50