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Statistical Inferences for Price Staleness

Journal of Econometrics , Vol. 218, Issue 1, pp. 32-81

Authors:
Aleksey Kolokolov,
Giulia Livieri,
Davide Pirino
Research Area:
Financial Markets
Date:
Sep 2020
Keywords:
staleness, idle time, liquidity, zero returns, stable convergence
Abstract:

This paper proposes a nonparametric theory for statistical inferences on zero returns of high-frequency asset prices. Using an infill asymptotic design, we derive limit theorems for the percentage of zero returns observed on a finite time interval and for other related quantities. Within this framework, we develop two nonparametric tests. First, we test whether intra-day zero returns are independent and identically distributed. Second, we test whether intra-day variation of the likelihood of occurrence of zero returns can be solely explained by a deterministic diurnal pattern. In an empirical application to ten representative stocks of the NYSE, we provide evidence that the null of independent and identically distributed intra-day zero returns can be conclusively rejected. We further find that a deterministic diurnal pattern is not sufficient to explain the intra-day variability of the distribution of zero returns.

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